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Days until someone full clear Inferno Date Pool

Discussion in 'Diablo 3 General Discussion' started by cozmiccc, Apr 11, 2012. | Replies: 365 | Views: 27912

  1. cozmiccc

    cozmiccc IncGamers Member

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    Days until someone full clear Inferno Date Pool

    Bashiok had repeatedly told us that Inferno will be bone-crushing hard and that you will bang your head in Act 1 for days then Act 2 for weeks at the very least, and even in Blizzard's office themselves they're talking about how many MONTHS before the most dedicated players can fully clear Inferno.

    So just for fun speculation, how long after release day till someone or a group will finish Act 4 Inferno? Let's make 5 May as the day 0. Perhaps someone can turns this into a poll or something, or maybe have it similar to the now completed D3 release date pool, so a days-to-inferno-full-clear-pool if you will :D

    Ok, I'll go first and I will buy what Bashiok said so I'll say it will take above 1 month since release, somewhere between mid June to Early July... So what do you guys think? :scratchchin:


    edit 4: Just to make it more fair & fun, the winner will be the closest date WITHOUT going over :p

    edit 5: Maybe I should clarify that this is calendar days not game time, just like what Bashiok said to be their internal office bets.

    edit 6:
    Final statistic of the date pool:

    * There are a total of 201 entries, ranging from 1 day to 420 days.
    * The median of days wagered is 19 days. With outliers and big range, mean average is meaningless
    * 66% of you believe that it will take less than a month (< 30 days) before someone in the world clears Inferno. Conversely 34% believes in Bashiok word.
    * 41% believes that it will be cleared in 2 weeks or less.
    * 23% in 1 week or less (!)
    * 11% for OVER 2 months

    Interesting change over the last few days, as we have more guesses on the longer end. Soon we would be able to see how everything turns out, and whether the supposed difficulty is just hype or truth.




    Sorted by 'days wagered' then by 'date/time of post'

    Code:
    Account         Days wagered         Added              Days Passed
    ===========================================================================
    permaximum            1            19/04/2012               X
    Zarniwoop             1            23/04/2012               X
    Aidz                  2            12/04/2012               X
    Davidus               2            12/04/2012               X 
    kar                   2            26/04/2012               X
    Risingred             3            12/04/2012               X            
    aerial                3            12/04/2012               X
    deneb                 3            20/04/2012               X
    Gamekk                3            26/04/2012               X
    pantar                3            14/05/2012               X
    Ertide                3            14/05/2012               X
    Dyz                   3            14/05/2012               X
    Eeohjeeki             3            14/05/2012               X
    Mefet                 4            12/04/2012
    Karpalo               4            12/04/2012
    robotxtacy            4            12/04/2012
    tyren                 4            13/04/2012
    betazoid              4            19/04/2012
    nitoo                 4            19/04/2012
    Shucklezzz            4            13/05/2012
    In the name of Zod    4            14/05/2012
    Mn_swe2               5            12/04/2012
    RazeBarb              5            12/04/2012
    Widukind              5            13/04/2012
    svidikus              5            16/04/2012
    Flux                  5            19/04/2012
    Bgx                   5            23/04/2012
    SZero                 5            01/05/2012
    Cyco                  5            14/05/2012
    Dai                   5            14/05/2012
    Eeryck                6            12/04/2012
    Torian                6            20/04/2012
    Boudica               6            20/04/2012
    edistotiger           6            23/04/2012
    domus                 6            14/05/2012
    Bowzer                7            11/04/2012
    marshmallow           7            11/04/2012
    ABarbarian            7            12/04/2012
    Such Violent Storms   7            12/04/2012
    ShadeoutMapes         7            12/04/2012
    Makagoto              7            20/04/2012
    DexA                  7            20/04/2012
    CoFran                7            23/04/2012
    Dreame                7            05/05/2012
    Lifeless              7            14/05/2012  
    zUkUu                 7            14/05/2012
    BaronScarpia          7            14/05/2012
    Xerios                8            12/04/2012
    MrH                   8            20/04/2012
    okiimatsu             9            12/04/2012
    Derpster              9            12/05/2012
    Sunar                 9            14/05/2012
    Cpdoom                10           12/04/2012
    joeb                  10           12/04/2012
    Catastrophe           10           13/04/2012
    Kblavkalash           10           14/04/2012
    Previous              10           17/04/2012
    kkmo                  10           03/05/2012
    Oblique               10           14/05/2012
    acken                 10           14/05/2012
    Tomsch                11           12/04/2012
    Tryzx                 11           19/04/2012
    Eagle                 12           12/04/2012
    Kaoticsoul            12           12/04/2012
    zoot                  12           12/04/2012
    Loriku                12           12/04/2012
    zacheroog             12           14/05/2012
    Scorch Hellfire       12           13/05/2012
    fsj                   13           12/04/2012
    Feres                 13           16/04/2012
    Karpalo               13           03/05/2012
    Zog Varnoka           13           05/05/2012
    direfire              13           14/05/2012
    osiwm                 13           14/05/2012
    Alutemu               13           14/05/2012
    woelrat               13           14/05/2012
    rhmutap               14           11/04/2012
    ElementEight          14           14/04/2012
    Elfik                 14           19/04/2012
    Kblavkalash           14           01/05/2012
    supachief             14           05/05/2012
    Garaganga             14           05/05/2012
    Cid                   15           12/04/2012
    Anduryondon           15           03/05/2012   
    GridGI                15           14/05/2012  
    Shinigami             16           13/04/2012
    PrimetimeUTK          16           13/04/2012
    Scytale               16           14/05/2012
    lucentmoon            17           12/04/2012
    Philos                17           19/04/2012
    Jeda                  17           14/05/2012
    Kornkills             17           14/05/2012
    Kenyepic              17           14/05/2012
    Feramors              17           14/05/2012
    Marapper              18           17/04/2012
    Itaju                 18           01/05/2012
    hatred                18           05/05/2012
    Mogget                18           14/05/2012
    discw                 18           14/05/2012
    wrugoin               18           14/05/2012
    keppie                19           20/04/2012
    ravenatnm             19           06/05/2012
    Dreamweaver           19           14/05/2012
    Sentarius             19           14/05/2012
    Raesene               20           12/04/2012
    Buu                   20           13/04/2012
    warGazm               20           19/04/2012
    melianor              20           12/05/2012
    Wolfpaq777            21           20/04/2012
    Benjehova             21           14/05/2012
    starrise              21           14/05/2012
    ChaosW                22           20/04/2012
    I Kill Pigeons        22           14/05/2012
    Mizantrop             23           20/04/2012
    chinz                 23           03/05/2012
    cttrojan              23           14/05/2012
    friggenfragger        23           14/05/2012
    methylparabex         24           26/04/2012
    Andy2702              24           01/05/2012
    Apokk                 24           14/05/2012
    Hellpyre              25           12/04/2012
    Mcstrife              25           12/04/2012
    pixartist             25           12/05/2012
    blairjs               26           01/05/2012
    Siege Valgore         27           20/04/2012
    Autti                 28           01/05/2012
    xwoar                 28           14/05/2012
    Ziggurath             28           14/05/2012
    demasked              29           14/05/2012
    Nukeithard            29           14/05/2012
    Punkonjunk            29           14/05/2012
    Eryendil              29           14/05/2012
    Hardrock              30           11/04/2012
    Fornica               30           14/05/2012
    Jedouard              30           14/05/2012
    gblan                 30           14/05/2012
    Dave Null             31           14/05/2012
    Jashua                31           14/05/2012
    lilbuddha             32           12/05/2012
    Arumot                33           19/04/2012
    Eus                   33           14/05/2012
    Helpoing              34           14/05/2012
    kestegs               35           12/04/2012
    Jocoma                36           14/05/2012
    mouseman              36           14/05/2012
    Aznagroth             37           07/05/2012
    Buen                  37           14/05/2012
    morriskh              37           14/05/2012
    EbinFlow              37           14/05/2012
    TenaciousDealer       38           14/05/2012
    Enso                  39           14/05/2012
    hpmons                40           05/05/2012
    FunMachine            41           14/05/2012
    JaymzLX               41           14/05/2012
    Apocalypse            42           11/04/2012
    Ironfang              42           14/05/2012
    shamanbp              42           14/05/2012
    windstriker           43           14/05/2012
    ShivanWurm            43           14/05/2012
    gskspurs              44           14/05/2012
    flAked                44           14/05/2012
    cozmiccc              45           11/04/2012
    TheShaft              45           13/04/2012
    SirAdis               45           14/04/2012
    Jetter                45           14/05/2012
    SDani                 47           19/04/2012
    Lokiftw               49           03/05/2012
    FaultyYogurt          50           23/04/2012
    cheerupemokid10       52           03/05/2012
    Mormith               52           14/05/2012
    ziper                 53           14/05/2012
    hellfurion            54           14/04/2012
    Varquynne             54           14/05/2012
    MrRandyMarsh          56           12/04/2012
    ahwolf                57           01/05/2012
    Boci                  60           12/04/2012
    meangreen             60           19/04/2012
    OmegaMendes           60           14/05/2012
    Pheal                 61           20/04/2012
    vileguy               62           14/05/2012
    BelushiEightyOneX     64           14/05/2012
    Njeroe                66           05/05/2012
    Cyberpunk             69           14/05/2012
    exlegis               72           14/05/2012
    TheDestructor         74           05/05/2012
    WreckLessRebel        74           14/05/2012
    Akonun                74           14/05/2012
    InertBlowfish         75           13/04/2012
    Helix                 85           12/04/2012
    raveharu              90           26/04/2012
    arcanedreams          90           05/05/2012
    Andzrel               93           14/05/2012
    Charons               99           14/05/2012
    EpicS                 100          14/05/2012
    Qvardz                101          14/05/2012
    psyadam               120          13/04/2012
    arokan                150          14/05/2012
    Gerlan                193          14/05/2012
    Choku                 242          14/05/2012
    noticks               270          14/05/2012
    tridgie               420          13/04/2012
    
    Last edited: May 20, 2012
  2. HardRock

    HardRock IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    I'll go with ~30 days as well. :)
  3. Bowzer

    Bowzer <a href="payments.php">IncGamers Site Pal</a><br>D

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    7 days is my guess.
  4. rhamutap

    rhamutap IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    You didn't specify softcore or hardcore.

    Two weeks tops. There will be exploits.
  5. ElementEight

    ElementEight IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    I "cleared" the poe beta in 24 hours of playtime. I know this isn't representative of anything, but I'm thinking about 12 hours of playtime per d3 act, and then, what, 24 hours per inferno acts? No idea. It really depends if they make the game super gear based, to the point where you get one shotted.
  6. marshmallow

    marshmallow IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    A week for the guys who play 18 hours a day.
  7. rhamutap

    rhamutap IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    Was this recently? You know there are 20 or so Chaos Maps. Or do you just mean beating Merciless?


  8. Apocalypse

    Apocalypse IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    i am gonna side with bliz and say it will take 42 days to beat inferno


    hardcore much longer, 4 month?
  9. kestegs

    kestegs D3 Monk Moderator

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    I'll highball all y'all and say it will be 6 weeks.
  10. Apocalypse

    Apocalypse IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    hey we need dates if this is gonna turn into a guess poll
  11. rhamutap

    rhamutap IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    Do all guesses not assume May 15th as the start... ?


  12. Apocalypse

    Apocalypse IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    if people use weeks are we to assume that if someone beats inferno any day besides tuesday everyone is wrong? first guess used months
  13. rhamutap

    rhamutap IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    Yes, a week is 7 days. If it happens on a day other than Tuesday, then yes, anyone who guessed weeks from May 15th would not have guessed the day correctly.

    As far as the first post, he said "1 months" lol. I've never heard of 1 months. You should have him clarify.
  14. cozmiccc

    cozmiccc IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    I can't make a poll though, probably will have to be a mod thread...

    Btw, this is talking about fastest clear, so obviously has to be SC, unless there's really an insane person that can complete HC first :p

    loll ok edited :p


  15. ElementEight

    ElementEight IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    I meant beating merciless then clearing at least one chaos map. I figured that they were pretty much all the same, some zone + random monsters of level 60. It's not like I need "gear" or "levels" to clear them either. I'm level 51 with blues and doing fine, so what's the point of playing more if I don't care for PvP and don't need to improve to clear the supposedly hardest dungeon? edit: Yes, it was recently. I did that last weekend.

    Which brings me to another subject;

    If D3 is "skill" based and you can kite and avoid stuff without proper gear or being the suggested level (Like PoE), then it'll be cleared quickly by skilled players with time. If D3 is "gear" based and you get one hit by unavoidable damage, then the combat is probably pretty shallow, and you'll need to farm / $$$$$$$$$$$$ gear to get anywhere. And since Blizz likes $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$, my bet is on that one.

    So, probably longer than a week.


  16. cozmiccc

    cozmiccc IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    Yes, as I mentioned in the OP, may 15th is day-0


    As I'm an optimist, I'll go with the first one that D3 is 'skill' based, even from the skill list you can see that every class have escape skills, movement skills, defensive skills, damage reductions etc. unlike D2, this and the freedom of skill combination paves the way for a more engaging and tactical combat without reliance on spike damage (unless you're severely undergeared of course)


  17. rhamutap

    rhamutap IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    Nice work. Ya, the Chaos are pretty much the same, but the game does run a counter on them until you've done 20 or so consecutive, then restarts.

    I too am worried about the whole "unavoidable damage" thing.


  18. Mn_Swe2

    Mn_Swe2 IncGamers Member

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  19. Eagle

    Eagle IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    12 Days

    10 Characters
  20. Cpdoom

    Cpdoom IncGamers Member

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    Re: Days until someone full clear Inferno

    SC: 10 days.
    HC: 19 days.

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