Old topic, I know, but there appears to be a twist not yet brought up here to my knowledge.
I've come to the realization that our current UNSC-granted exemption from ICC prosecution for war crimes expires June 30. We don't have the 9 votes needed to pass another extension, and Annan is now actively asking the UNSC to stop shielding us from international law. Small wonder then that Bush is now lobbying the UN to pass a resolution supporting Iraqi sovereignty. This resolution would essentially set up a precedent for the idea that we have no power over what happens in Iraq starting from, conveniently, the date on which we would start being held responsible for our actions in war.
I am now absolutely certain that this transfer will happen. I'd bet the bank on it.